Semiconductor & Electronics industries will be impacted if the US goes into recession

Semiconductor & Electronics Industries Market Analysis (2023 - 2030) 

The Semiconductor and Circuit Manufacturing industry produce a variety of electronic components, including memory chips, silicon wafers, and solid-state devices. Industry demand is usually linked to demand and production levels for various electronic and computer products. Therefore, industry performance is based on several factors - including technological innovation, private investment in computers, and the cost of electronic components. The electronics industry is affected by factors like the US dollar exchange rate and import penetration into the manufacturing sector. These factors have a big impact on industry performance.

In 2022, the worldwide semiconductor chip enterprise is predicted to attain approximately USD 600 billion. But at the same time as it’s nonetheless dwarfed through farming, oil, and gas—industries which can be well worth an annual US$10 trillion and USD 5 trillion in sales respectively—80% of the world’s meals or gasoline doesn’t come from a handful of producers focused in a only a few countries. Across a couple of cease markets, the absence of an unmarried crucial chip, frequently costing much less than a dollar, can save you the sale of a toy well worth tens of heaps of dollars. The chip scarcity of the beyond years led to sales misses of extra than US$500 billion globally among the semiconductor and its purchaser industries, with misplaced car income of extra than US$210 billion in 2021 alone.

Commerce Secretary Gina Raimond warned that the country's current reliance on foreign computer chip manufacturing would put it at risk of an economic recession if it stopped. It came as we were nearing a critical vote on a bill that would fund her CHIPS Act, worth more than $50 billion, will help subsidize the construction of semiconductor factories in the United States. Computer chips are used in a variety of Internet-connected devices, from smartphones to medical devices to automobiles. The bill, which has cleared procedural hurdles in the Senate but has yet to pass both houses, has support on both sides of the aisle, but some lawmakers have called for subsidies to companies involved in share buybacks. The bill now includes a ban on using the funds for buybacks or dividends. The semiconductor industry lobbied for the bill to pass, and Intel warned that congressional delays could delay its Ohio manufacturing facility, in which it originally planned to invest $20 billion.

In several end markets, the absence of a single crucial chip, which frequently costs less than a dollar, might obstruct the sale of a $10,000 gadget. The chip scarcity over the past two years cost the semiconductor industry and its customer industries more than US$500 billion in lost income, with lost vehicle sales totalling more than US$210 billion in 2021 alone. Revenues from semiconductors are probably going to follow a trend line over the long term. Even still, as we begin a time of strong secular growth, that trend line appears steeper than ever. The expansion of semiconductor production facilities outside of Taiwan, China, and South Korea will exacerbate the current skills scarcity. The scarcity will be made worse by the increased demand for software expertise needed to develop and integrate chips into quickly expanding businesses. We anticipate that the industry will continue to see rapid digital change. Almost three out of every five chip businesses have started the transition process. Nevertheless, more than half of those is making on-the-fly adjustments to their transformation process in response to diverse challenges.

Historically, the stock market and economy as a whole have been closely monitored by semiconductor stocks. Appliances, data centers, gaming, and artificial intelligence are just a few of the many industries that use chips and are crucial to future growth. If chip conditions are poor, it raises concerns about other areas of the economy's demand, which is a worrying sign for the stock market. The demand and supply sides of the economy's worldwide semiconductor shortfall have partly subsided, although the output of some chips used in automobiles and home appliances is still constrained. Fears that demand will continue to outpace supply for an extended period are being stoked by unsettling comments from semiconductor companies ahead of their second-quarter earnings.

The orders of the 2020-2021 pandemic lockdown helped the semiconductor sector as demand for consumer electronics devices surged considerably as a result of changing consumer habits brought on by the rise in remote employment, distant learning, gaming, entertainment, and online shopping, far outpacing supply. The car industry, however, found little comfort in the fact that the number of semiconductors shipped increased by around 26 billion last year. When the lockdowns first started, the abrupt drop in vehicle sales and the closing of manufacturing facilities frightened automakers, forcing them to scale back production and reduce/cancel orders for parts, including massive quantities of computer chips. To accommodate the soaring demand for chips used in consumer electronics like laptops, tablets, and smartphones, semiconductor fabricators repositioned their production lines.

Then, by the end of 2020, the industry was caught off guard as auto sales unexpectedly increased. Simply put, there weren't enough chips at that point, causing the auto industry to once more cease manufacturing. This year, the shortfall persisted, and many anticipate that it will do so at least through the end of 2022. As a result, the manufacturing of over one million automobiles was reduced, costing $110 billion in lost revenue. With a revenue share of less than 9%, the auto industry is a low priority for worldwide fabricators, accounting for $39.5 billion of the total global chip demand.

The industrial growth in 2020 was insufficient to reduce the gap between supply and demand. As digitization permeates every aspect of daily life, semiconductor demand is continuing to soar well above the world's supply capacity. To meet that demand, many of the biggest fabricators in the world, like Intel and the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), are increasing capacity by building new fabrication facilities. According to Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger, it will take "a couple of years" to alleviate the current chip scarcity. Until then, the cost of memory and semiconductors will increase, raising the cost of everything they are utilized in.

Even though some markets have witnessed a slight improvement in recent months, the world still struggles with ongoing shortages of semiconductors. With a direct influence on the supply chain of raw materials for chip fabrication and a new wave of panic buying, the Russian invasion of Ukraine now has the potential to worsen the situation. It is significant to highlight that many chip manufacturers have asserted that their raw material and gas supply chains are diverse, that they have enough inventory, and that they don't anticipate any immediate effects beyond the current shortages. However, if the situation continues or worsens, they are concerned about the long-term effects. The impact on market demand, raw material supply, and supply behaviours will depend on how events play out, thus the largest danger is whether a fresh wave of panic purchasing emerges. It was one of the primary causes of continued semiconductor scarcity since it further strained and degraded the supply chain without benefiting buyers. The automotive and communication industries will be most affected by the shortages of devices like field-programmable gate arrays, enterprise-based networking chips, and power management integrated circuits.

The area provides a variety of raw resources that are essential to the production of chips. For instance, since Ukraine is a significant supplier of inert gases like neon, which are necessary for the semiconductor lithography process, any disruption in the nation's supply of these gases could result in shortages and corresponding price increases. Russia is a significant producer of metals such as copper, nickel, and aluminium. Aluminium is a conductor that is frequently used in wire bonding and the production of passive components. All kinds of electronic equipment frequently use passive components like resistors and capacitors. Any interruption in the supply of any of these metals might push up costs, which would then affect the cost of semiconductors and other electronic components.

Finally, the semiconductor industry is expected to get affected by the upcoming recession in the United States. However, the US government is striving to protect the industry from taking the hit of the potential recession by introducing Chips Act and Landmark Act. This will pump in huge amounts of investments in the semiconductor sector and help it tackle the impact of recession and supply chain disruption.

 

For More Info, Request Sample Copy Of This Report @ 
 

Analyst Support

Every order comes with Analyst Support.

Customization

We offer customization to cater your needs to fullest.

Verified Analysis

We value integrity, quality and authenticity the most.